January 27th, 2010

Apples Win, Wrapped in a Miss, Rolled in Confusion

Lets get one thing straight: if, after todays press event, you still think the iPad is an oversized iPhone, you’re being stupid.

The iPad is Apple’s reconceptualization of what a computer is to a regular person.

Therein lies the challenge of todays event, and one of Apples two biggest failing with the iPad launch. First off, in the iPad, I feel even more strongly than I did Monday that what Apple has on its hands the 2010 vision of the 1997 iMac, or the 1984 Macintosh. It is basically the computer most people should own. It’s Apple’s first computer in a long time targeted at regular people with average computing needs, and the price really drives that home.

But that was also the first hurdle they needed to get over that they didn’t. Today’s event was the first time in a long time that Apple has launched a product that not just not targeted at core Apple customers (the kind that watch these events), but actually the type of product that the core would be predisposed to both not understand and not like. If you work all day making videos, working as a photographer, making websites or designing products, the current interaction models for computers either works pretty well, or you’ve invested so much time in learning it, that it’s hard to see another vision of a computer. But for most people, the metaphors a lot of us take for granted are not just non-obvious, they’re downright confusing.

As I pointed out Monday, something as seemingly basic as the file system is a total mystery to most people. And forget keyboard commands. For the vast majority of computer users, keyboards are for typing and nothing else. In the iPad, Apple has a product that addresses the idea that in 2010 everyone has – or needs – a computer in their lives, but almost all of the interaction models we have are based 30-year-old concepts of keyboard and mouse as primary input devices. Why? Keyboards are, again, really about making words, and a mouse is a legacy pointing device that is mostly not ideal.

So, Apple has this device, this “new” computer.

This fresh way of seeing the world.

This third option.

And what do they do?

They spend the entire presentation NOT saying that.

This was, without a doubt, the single worst product drop I’ve ever seen from Apple.

I came into this morning so clear on what the iPad could be, and by the time the event was over, all I could think was “Jobs did everything he could to make this sound like a giant iPhone.” In my mind, what he needed to do was come out, explain the issues surrounding computers in 1984 and how the Macintosh overcame them. Talk about the issues facing computers in 1998 and how iMac overcame them. Talk about the issues facing computers in 2010, and then spend the rest of the presentation explaining how this is the new Mac, pounding the message: “if you need a computer for your LIFE, this is the one.” The price should have come much earlier, and should have been much more tied to the product’s reason d’etre. “Thinking about buying that shitty Acer laptop for $700, let me show you this Apple for $500.”

This needed to be an event about the concept of the iPad, not the specific features.

Maybe he’s been pitching to fanboys for too long, I don’t know, but this is most assuredly NOT a spec sheet device. From that point of view, it is basically an over sized iPhone. But in re-concpetualizing the computer, size matters. Simplicity matters. Access to both content and software, easily, matters. iPad is about the computer in your life, just like the Macintosh, just like the iMac, and I feel that Jobs totally failed to bring this concept home.

Literally nothing else mattered…

…and he missed.

He set out to reintroduce a product category – the computer designed for home life – and he failed to bring that single point home.

What makes this critical is that while you can rev the hardware and software feature set, as we saw with the iPhone, you can’t rev whether or not people believe in the idea. The brilliance of the iPhone introduction is that while people could and did rip on the initial features, or lack thereof, every single person knew exactly what the iPhone meant conceptually. That didn’t happen today, and I’m worried it may be fatal. If the average person – not the person who watched today’s event, but the person at whom this device is targeted – can’t understand why this for them, they’re probably not going to come back to it. At the very least, that is a profoundly more steep hill for Apple to climb than explaining or revving the object specifications.

The second huge flaw, and single point that broke my heart about the device itself, is that for everything I just stated above, Apple seems to also view this as an accessory. What this needed to be was a computer. A new, better, more relevant computer, but a computer. That Apple expects people to sync this to another computer is either profoundly short sighted, or just stupid. Neither of which feels like the Apple I know. By positioning the iPad as peripheral, Apple took what should have been a really cheap, amazing computer in a world of terrible cheap computers, and instead positioned it as a really expensive toy.

My mom, my dad, Megan’s mom and step-dad, they all want Apples, but always felt like they were too expensive. To be fair, you have to either buy into the Apple aesthetic or understand computers in a deeper than average way to justify a $999 13 inch MacBook in a world of $700 17 inch Toshiba’s. But with the iPad they have a chance to charge right into that space. It’s the exact same price point, with a totally different, and in my mind, clearly better experience. That concept has been severely damaged by leaving the Mac as the center of the Apple universe. Im guessing that you may not need to sync the iPad, but it says a lot about how Apple will position this and it feels like a terrible choice: it reduces the importance of the device, and again, muddles the ecosystem for the average person.

Anyway, it’s done with now and we’ll see how things shake out. I still love it, and I’ve talked to a number of people who are genuinely excited by it. At the same time, I can’t help but feel that today was a critical day for iPad, and what should have been easy, breakaway slam dunk, instead put up as many obstacles as it took down.

NOTE: This was originally posted on thisisviolence.net

justin
  • For me, what hit home about this device is that it changes the context with which you take in information on a computer.

    I've been using computers for 22 years. Most of them PCs. The majority of my life they have framed information within the context of WORK.

    Only in the last 6-7 years (since I got Mac laptops) have I began to use the computer as an extension of life.

    With this device, the information (which you hold in your hand) will become more personal. Email will be more like reading actual correspondence.

    Pictures will be something you enjoy rather than something you organize.

    It's a life tool. Not a business machine.

    Nah mean?
  • Thank you Justin...exactly what I have been asking all day....MAX?iphone?Ipad?
    what's up with all of that...finally I understand
    and now I can go ipad and still feed the masses.....!
  • Nice post Justin. I don't think it's too late for Apple to get the right positioning out there. As you say, the launch wasn't for the target anyway, and whatever the journalists say now will be forgotten once it actually ships.
  • Yeah, you may be correct. I certainly hope that's how it goes. I know I, for one, cannot wait to go try one out.

    Reviews from everyone I've heard who has actually handled one says that it really shines once you have it in your hands.
  • Along the lines of the Bud Light commercial, the positioning for the average computer user could be - iPhone (too light), Mac (too heavy), iPad (just right.)
  • HA! I love this.
  • I actually think that the iPad could be fully-functional as a stand-alone computer. You can already buy apps, music, movies, etc. from within an iPhone, and you can already do the same from within the iPad (the iBooks app demonstrates that). So you don't actually *need* another computer to use it, though this demonstrates a further need for iPad peripherals that let you do backups or manage your files *eventually*. Otherwise I very much liked this article. Spot on.
  • I was wondering about this myself. It seems like it COULD work stand alone for sure.

    The issue I take with it is that I feel Apple missed an opportunity to make it ACTUALLY stand alone. A fully functional computer for 500-800 is great, but thats a lot of money for a peripheral.
  • attilaosztrogonacz
    I am looking forward to experience the gPad from Google (l think it will come out in this year for sure).
  • You think Google will go after this? That would be interesting. I wonder if Google has the level of interest in hardware that would be needed to get something like that off the ground.

    Apples obsession with crafting (or controlling depending on your point of view) every aspect of the experience has taken them down the road of investing in some pretty serious infrastructure. I think Anil Dash had a great point last night: the biggest drop yesterday wasn't the iPad, it was the A4 chip.

    I'm sure I see Google having the attention span to get there.
  • iangotts
    Great, passionate blog. This was a tech launch, not the visionary launch it should/could have been. visionary as in "creating new vidsion of what is possible"

    Here is a visionary video from M*cr*soft http://www.officelabs.com/Pages/Envisioning.aspx
  • sambrightstar
    Thanks for writing the most sensible, intelligent account of the iPad launch that I've come across so far. You've hit the nail on the head.
    Apple should get you to do a relaunch now!
  • Jack
    I disagree. I think enough people and journalists will pick up on it -- as the masses computing device of the future.
  • Hey Jack - I hope you're right, as I still think this is a great product. I worry though that many journalists will be no more tech savvy that the average person and may get caught up in the "just a giant iPhone" meme which may be as far as a lot of people go in thinking about it.

    The risk is that the exact target for this product are the same people least likely to go deep in researching it.

    That said, curiosity may run high enough that people will drop into an Apple store just to see it and become a fan right then. It certainly wouldn't be the first time.
  • From a music point of view, I'd like to see this promoted as a playing device (as in musical instrument) rather than as a listening device. I think it will be. I anticipate that Smule will come up with a number of applications for it.
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